Football Analytics Research Technology!

Hi friends! I’ve put together a goofy little Rails application that projects NFL football games. It does this by essentially comparing any given game with a big ol’ database of previous games, using a myriad of different weighted factors. It was designed specifically to project on a game by game basis, but I’ve run some seasons long simulations for kicks and here are the results:

AFC East

Patriots: 10.8 – 5.1 – 0.1
Bills: 10.2 – 5.5 – 0.2
Jets: 3.4 – 12.5 – 0.1
Dolphins: 3.0 – 12.9 – 0.1

AFC North

Steelers: 10.9 – 5.1 – 0.0
Ravens: 10.0 – 5.9 – 0.1
Bengals: 9.6 – 6.3 – 0.1
Browns: 5.2 – 10.7 – 0.1

AFC South

Colts: 11.1 – 4.8 – 0.1
Texans: 6.4 – 9.4 – 0.1
Jaguars: 6.1 – 9.8 – 0.1
Titans: 3.1 – 12.8 – 0.0

AFC West

Chiefs: 11.2 – 4.7 – 0.1
Broncos: 10.7 – 5.1 – 0.1
Chargers: 9.5 – 6.4 – 0.1
Raiders: 2.9 – 13.0 – 0.1

NFC East

Giants: 10.4 – 5.5 – 0.1
Eagles: 9.6 – 6.3 – 0.1
Cowboys: 7.3 – 8.6 – 0.1
Redskins: 5.1 – 10.9 – 0.0

NFC North

Packers: 12.0 – 3.8 – 0.2
Lions: 9.4 – 6.4 – 0.2
Vikings: 7.9 – 7.9 – 0.2
Bears: 2.0 – 14.0 – 0.0

NFC South

Falcons: 10.8 – 5.1 – 0.1
Panthers: 10.1 – 5.8 – 0.1
Saints: 6.2 – 9.7 – 0.1
Buccaneers: 4.2 – 11.7 – 0.1

NFC West

Cardinals: 12.1 – 3.8 – 0.1
Seahawks: 10.9 – 5.1 – 0.1
49ers: 6.4 – 9.5 – 0.1
Rams: 5.5 – 10.3 – 0.2

I’ll be posting FART’s projections each week on this site, essentially keeping track of FART’s record against the spread. I won’t personally be using this system for gambling as it is illegal in this state, but I’d certainly condone others to do so as I don’t have any kind of moral horse in that race (so sorry).

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